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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.41+3.48vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+0.74vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+2.77vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-1.33vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.40+1.79vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-0.20-2.13vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.21vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-1.36-1.19vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.76-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.68-0.54vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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2.74North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.06The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.77University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.67Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.89Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Georgia-1.400.0%1st Place
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5.87Vanderbilt University-0.200.1%1st Place
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9.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.24North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.46University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 30.9% | 24.4% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 19.7% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
| Jack Schultz | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 7.4% |
| Victor Larimer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 46.7% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 26.8% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.