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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.75vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.45+2.67vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.60+2.02vs Predicted
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4Duke University-2.01+4.28vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+3.10vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.60-1.06vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-2.72+2.74vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.11-4.46vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-2.31-0.03vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87+0.11vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.91-5.42vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-3.04-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.60-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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4.67Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.02The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
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8.28Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.94University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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9.74Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
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3.54North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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8.97Vanderbilt University-2.310.0%1st Place
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10.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
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9.66University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 55.5% | 25.6% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 7.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 5.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| May Proctor | 6.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 13.1% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mira Singh | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 22.8% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Adams | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 30.8% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.