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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.75vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.45+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.60+1.99vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.11-0.38vs Predicted
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5Duke University-2.01+3.08vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.60-1.10vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-2.31+1.81vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.19vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-2.72+0.89vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.91-4.33vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-0.94vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.60-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.04-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75North Carolina State University1.540.5%1st Place
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4.67Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.99University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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8.08Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.9The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
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8.81Vanderbilt University-2.310.0%1st Place
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8.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.89Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
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5.67North Carolina State University-0.910.1%1st Place
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10.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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9.74University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 53.7% | 27.9% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 5.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 13.5% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 5.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mira Singh | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 20.1% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
| William Adams | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.