← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.54+0.75vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.45+2.70vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.60+1.99vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.91+1.66vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.11-1.45vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-0.60-1.05vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+1.08vs Predicted
-
8Vanderbilt University-2.31+0.88vs Predicted
-
9Vanderbilt University-2.72+0.89vs Predicted
-
10Duke University-2.01-1.79vs Predicted
-
11University of South Carolina-2.60-1.56vs Predicted
-
12University of Georgia-3.04-1.40vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
-
4.7Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
-
5.66North Carolina State University-0.910.0%1st Place
-
3.55North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.95The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
-
8.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.88Vanderbilt University-2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.89Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.21Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
9.44University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
-
10.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 55.1% | 26.5% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 14.2% | 21.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 6.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Mira Singh | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.1% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| William Robertson | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.1% |
| William Adams | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 29.6% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.