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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.72vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.91+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.60+2.00vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.63+1.04vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.11-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87+4.13vs Predicted
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7Duke University-2.01+1.11vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.45-3.39vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-2.72+0.91vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-2.31-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-2.97vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.60-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-3.04-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72North Carolina State University1.540.5%1st Place
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5.67North Carolina State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.0University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.04The Citadel-0.630.1%1st Place
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3.55North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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10.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.11Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.61Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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9.91Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
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8.91Vanderbilt University-2.310.0%1st Place
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8.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.71University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 54.9% | 27.1% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| May Proctor | 5.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reese Blackwell | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 14.6% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 20.1% |
| William Robertson | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Neil Bunce | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| Mira Singh | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| William Adams | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.