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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.72vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.11+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.60+2.00vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.45+0.68vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.630.00vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-2.60+3.54vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.91-1.43vs Predicted
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8Duke University-2.01+0.16vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-3.04+1.51vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-3.00vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-2.72-2.01vs Predicted
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13Vanderbilt University-2.31-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.61North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.0University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.68Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.0The Citadel-0.630.1%1st Place
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9.54University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University-0.910.1%1st Place
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8.16Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
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10.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.99Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
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9.09Vanderbilt University-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 55.9% | 26.5% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 12.9% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 5.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 6.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Reese Blackwell | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.0% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| William Adams | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 28.6% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 22.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| Mira Singh | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.