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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.73vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.91+3.59vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.11+0.58vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.85+1.45vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.45-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.60-1.17vs Predicted
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7Duke University-2.01+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.60+0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-3.04+0.44vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-0.98vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-2.72-2.04vs Predicted
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13Vanderbilt University-2.31-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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3.58North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.45The Citadel-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.61Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.83University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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8.03Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.59University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Georgia-3.040.0%1st Place
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10.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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9.96Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
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9.04Vanderbilt University-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 55.5% | 26.4% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 12.8% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Pennisi | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 8.1% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 16.7% |
| William Adams | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 29.0% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 19.6% |
| Mira Singh | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.