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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+8.58vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.80+1.81vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48+5.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-3.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+4.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+4.41vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.31-2.64vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.01-1.96vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.58-1.48vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.54+0.72vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.26-6.54vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-2.94vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.12-5.71vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-5.07vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58George Washington University1.073.3%1st Place
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6.83Tulane University1.737.0%1st Place
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6.69Brown University1.696.8%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University1.8010.3%1st Place
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10.36Jacksonville University0.482.8%1st Place
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2.82Yale University2.4231.4%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.1%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.184.4%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Naval Academy-0.211.4%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.316.8%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.013.9%1st Place
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10.52Rollins College0.582.6%1st Place
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13.72Northwestern University-0.540.9%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston1.266.8%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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10.29Clemson University0.123.7%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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12.68Christopher Newport University-0.841.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 31.4% | 23.5% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 21.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 24.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Ashton Loring | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.