Race 10A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 18.1% 16.8% 15.2% 14.7% 11.6% 9.3% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Walter Chiles 8.3% 8.3% 8.9% 9.8% 10.8% 10.7% 14.8% 12.9% 10.2% 5.3%
Emil Tullberg 22.2% 19.3% 16.6% 14.5% 11.1% 7.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Bryce Vitiello 13.4% 12.2% 14.2% 13.3% 12.4% 12.7% 10.1% 6.4% 4.0% 1.4%
James Jagielski 8.6% 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 11.5% 12.8% 10.9% 12.7% 9.8% 3.5%
Ryan Treat 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 7.9% 10.4% 12.7% 23.0% 24.4%
Henri Richardsson 9.8% 11.2% 11.4% 11.8% 12.3% 12.4% 11.2% 10.3% 6.3% 3.3%
Sam Harris 9.6% 9.0% 9.8% 10.4% 12.6% 10.8% 12.8% 11.4% 9.7% 4.0%
Cameron Frary 4.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 10.6% 10.9% 15.7% 16.4% 13.3%
Kai Latham 1.9% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.2% 6.6% 10.9% 17.6% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.