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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.95+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.03+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+0.81vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.43vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+3.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.14+6.11vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.44-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.53vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.17-1.49vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+3.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.64-4.78vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.60-1.53vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.08-1.31vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University-0.75-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.71-1.24vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.79-1.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.86vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.60-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of California at Santa Barbara0.950.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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8.34California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.68Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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7.51San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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13.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.69Arizona State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.44Texas A&M University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.03Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fineman | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 19.1% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Cole Broberg | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 11.2% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 51.2% |
| Jason Yang | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.