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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.20+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.37+2.64vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.38-0.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.50vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.79+0.51vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.72-3.32vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.09-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Connecticut College1.2026.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Rhode Island1.1024.9%1st Place
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5.64University of New Hampshire-0.375.1%1st Place
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3.9Connecticut College0.3814.4%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.5%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University-0.792.8%1st Place
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3.68Bates College0.7215.8%1st Place
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7.01University of New Hampshire-1.112.2%1st Place
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6.94University of New Hampshire-1.093.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 26.2% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.9% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 7.7% |
| Liam Gronda | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.8% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 22.5% | 31.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.