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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.88+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.70+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.95+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51-1.23vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.14-1.73vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.98+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-1.80vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.66-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of South Florida2.880.4%1st Place
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3.9University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
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3.5University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
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2.77University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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3.27Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.77Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.33Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Felder | 36.5% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 21.3% | 28.8% | 11.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Whitehead | 13.5% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 21.5% | 22.9% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 23.5% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 14.5% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 22.8% | 40.4% | 28.1% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 41.1% | 29.5% | 13.4% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 10.4% | 26.3% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.