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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.95+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.03+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.60+6.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+1.52vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.99vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+0.36vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.17-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.71+3.93vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.44-4.18vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.08+0.06vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.60-0.76vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University-0.75-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.14-3.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.90vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.79-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.950.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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8.36California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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7.55San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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13.93University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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6.82Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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12.06Arizona State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.68Texas A&M University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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16.1University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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13.81Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fineman | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.0% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| George Soliman | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 12.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Annika Burns | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% |
| Jason Yang | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Cole Broberg | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 49.7% |
| Erin Welker | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.