← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.84vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.36vs Predicted
-
3San Diego State University1.23+0.28vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+0.18vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12+5.22vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy0.20-0.36vs Predicted
-
7Santa Clara University-1.98+6.56vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-1.73+4.86vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay-2.99+8.73vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-1.60+2.17vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+1.67vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-2.32vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.34vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26-2.90vs Predicted
-
15California State University Monterey Bay-2.05-0.56vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-1.53-4.14vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-2.62-0.44vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-2.68-1.40vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.79-6.16vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.73-3.05vs Predicted
-
21San Diego State University-1.64-8.70vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-2.94-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.3%1st Place
-
6.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
-
3.28San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
-
4.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.1%1st Place
-
10.22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
-
5.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
-
13.56Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
12.86University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
-
17.73California State University Monterey Bay-2.990.0%1st Place
-
12.17University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
-
11.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
-
14.44California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.86San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
16.56University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
-
16.6University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
-
12.84Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
16.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.730.0%1st Place
-
12.3San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
17.5University of California at Davis-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 28.7% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 21.7% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicolai Perez | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Philip Yang | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 21.9% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Liam Williams | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Paul Munsell | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Ng | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.