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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.95+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.88+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.70-0.16vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.14-1.72vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.98+0.79vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.66-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.36-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
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2.32University of South Florida2.880.4%1st Place
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2.77University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
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3.28Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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6.79Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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7.35Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Whitehead | 13.1% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Felder | 35.3% | 24.9% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 23.6% | 23.2% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 29.0% | 10.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.2% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 20.3% | 42.4% | 28.0% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 61.0% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 44.0% | 30.5% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.