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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.20+1.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+3.49vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.79+3.43vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.30vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.38-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.10-4.99vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.11-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Connecticut College1.2025.9%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.8%1st Place
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6.43Salve Regina University-0.793.5%1st Place
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3.7Bates College0.7215.7%1st Place
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3.91Connecticut College0.3813.9%1st Place
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6.97University of New Hampshire-1.092.3%1st Place
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5.63University of New Hampshire-0.375.3%1st Place
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3.01University of Rhode Island1.1024.6%1st Place
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7.03University of New Hampshire-1.111.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 25.9% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Liam Gronda | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 30.8% |
| Ted Richardsson | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 8.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.6% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.