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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+1.33vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44+2.44vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.67+6.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.41+4.35vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-2.04+5.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-2.18+5.02vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+0.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.87+4.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.08vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-1.66vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-2.78+1.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-8.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-7.07vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.52-2.41vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.64-7.17vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.88-2.87vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-4.31vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.89-8.95vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.20-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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4.37California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.1%1st Place
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11.23San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Berkeley-1.410.0%1st Place
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12.5San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
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10.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.8University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.34California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.0%1st Place
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15.72California State University Monterey Bay-2.780.0%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.170.0%1st Place
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14.59Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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10.83San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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16.13University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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15.69California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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16.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 39.7% | 25.4% | 16.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 17.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Liam Marney | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.3% |
| Annika Altman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.