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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+1.29vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+1.94vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.67+7.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.76vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.52+6.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.41+0.91vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+0.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.64+0.03vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-2.04+0.58vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.64-1.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-2.18-0.60vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-0.32vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-2.78-1.50vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.20-1.03vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.88-2.83vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-10.85vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.89-8.95vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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4.31California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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11.04San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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14.45Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Berkeley-1.410.0%1st Place
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10.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.58San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.07San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
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11.3California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.0%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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15.5California State University Monterey Bay-2.780.0%1st Place
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16.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.200.0%1st Place
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16.17University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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15.44California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 40.4% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| JT Long | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Ragon | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.6% |
| Liam Marney | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 25.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 15.9% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Annika Altman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.