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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+3.33vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.41+7.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+0.93vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-2.52+9.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.64+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-3.91vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-2.04+1.67vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-1.09vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.67-1.75vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-2.78+1.68vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-3.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-2.18-2.97vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.64-6.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-2.18vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-3.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.88-4.03vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.20-3.94vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.89-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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2.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Berkeley-1.410.0%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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14.58Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Santa Cruz-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.73University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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12.67San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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10.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.25San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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15.68California State University Monterey Bay-2.780.0%1st Place
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11.28California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
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10.97San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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15.93California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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15.97University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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17.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.200.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Cuyler | 14.3% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 39.1% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% |
| JT Long | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Liam Marney | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 26.2% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.