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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+1.93vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+0.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+6.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17+3.34vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-2.80+8.45vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-2.78+7.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-2.92vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.64+1.03vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.67-0.93vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-2.04-0.22vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-2.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.64-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-2.18-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-1.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.41-8.05vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.52-4.13vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.88-3.97vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.20-4.00vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.89-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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4.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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11.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Cruz-1.170.0%1st Place
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15.45California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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15.34California State University Monterey Bay-2.780.0%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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11.03San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.07San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.78San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.45California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
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15.89University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Berkeley-1.410.0%1st Place
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14.87Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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16.03University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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17.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.200.0%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 41.0% | 23.9% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 14.1% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% |
| Liam Marney | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 15.9% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.3% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 24.6% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.