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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+4.02vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.33vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+0.30vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+6.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.71vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.67+3.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.87+6.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.88+5.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.17-1.74vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-0.65vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-2.80+2.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.64-2.78vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-2.78+0.64vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.04-3.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-2.00-4.45vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-8.95vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.64-7.65vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.52-5.24vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.20-3.90vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.89-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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2.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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4.3California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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11.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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11.16San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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15.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Berkeley-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.35California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.0%1st Place
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15.85California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.64California State University Monterey Bay-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.6San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Berkeley-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Santa Cruz-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.35San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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14.76Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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17.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.200.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Sharp | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 39.0% | 26.3% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 11.6% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| JT Long | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| Nikolas Krause | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Annika Altman | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Liam Marney | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Allison Dana | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Brily Petersen | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 27.7% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.