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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.20+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+1.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.38+0.90vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.37+0.62vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.44vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.72-3.20vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Connecticut College1.2027.9%1st Place
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3.0University of Rhode Island1.1022.7%1st Place
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3.9Connecticut College0.3813.8%1st Place
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6.43Salve Regina University-0.793.4%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire-0.375.8%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.1%1st Place
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3.8Bates College0.7214.8%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire-1.092.9%1st Place
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6.98University of New Hampshire-1.112.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 27.9% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 22.7% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 13.8% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 29.9% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.