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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.64+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.21vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.38vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93University of Southern California0.640.4%1st Place
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2.21University of California at Berkeley0.400.3%1st Place
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2.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.24Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 42.1% | 30.7% | 18.9% | 8.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 29.5% | 31.8% | 26.7% | 12.0% |
| Florence Duff | 19.4% | 24.4% | 31.3% | 24.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 9.0% | 13.1% | 23.1% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.