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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.88+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.70+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.95-0.47vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.14-2.75vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.98-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-1.80vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.66-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of South Florida2.880.4%1st Place
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3.9University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
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2.76University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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3.53University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
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3.25Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.32Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Felder | 37.5% | 26.5% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 27.6% | 11.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 22.9% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Whitehead | 12.6% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 24.4% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.2% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 22.4% | 40.5% | 28.1% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 41.4% | 29.5% | 13.3% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 10.4% | 26.3% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.