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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.20+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+1.07vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.72+0.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.38-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.40vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Connecticut College1.2026.6%1st Place
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3.07University of Rhode Island1.1024.8%1st Place
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3.72Bates College0.7215.0%1st Place
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5.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.5%1st Place
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3.95Connecticut College0.3814.1%1st Place
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5.6University of New Hampshire-0.375.9%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University-0.793.8%1st Place
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6.97University of New Hampshire-1.091.7%1st Place
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7.0University of New Hampshire-1.112.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 26.6% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.8% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.0% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Liam Gronda | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 9.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 30.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.