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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.12+0.67vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.61+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.43-2.81vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.72vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.00-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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2.64University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.65Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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3.19University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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6.28Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.67Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 29.1% | 23.5% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 26.5% | 26.1% | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 13.5% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 3.7% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 30.3% | 25.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 18.2% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 25.1% | 29.6% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 16.3% | 26.8% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.