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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+0.23vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+0.65vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.60+1.27vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.12-2.34vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.61-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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2.64University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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3.23University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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4.65Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.27Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.76Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 29.1% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 27.1% | 26.0% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 18.4% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 20.7% | 28.7% | 26.4% |
| Grace Bray | 13.0% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 23.7% | 45.7% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 23.9% | 28.7% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.