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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.88+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.70+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51-0.23vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.98+2.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.95-1.45vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.14-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of South Florida2.880.4%1st Place
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3.76University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
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2.77University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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6.53Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.55University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
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3.24Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.9University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Felder | 37.3% | 26.5% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 10.7% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 28.7% | 9.1% | 0.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 22.4% | 25.7% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 24.5% | 67.5% |
| Matthew Whitehead | 12.4% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 24.1% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.6% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 22.3% | 17.4% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 51.2% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.