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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+2.04vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.20+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.37+2.64vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.50vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.38-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.09-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-0.99vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Rhode Island1.1023.9%1st Place
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2.8Connecticut College1.2027.4%1st Place
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5.64University of New Hampshire-0.375.9%1st Place
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3.77Bates College0.7214.8%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.4%1st Place
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3.97Connecticut College0.3812.4%1st Place
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6.93University of New Hampshire-1.092.7%1st Place
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7.01University of New Hampshire-1.112.9%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University-0.793.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 23.9% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 27.4% | 23.7% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 8.8% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 8.8% |
| Liam Gronda | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 29.8% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 32.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.