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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.12+2.60vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.43-0.76vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.61+0.27vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.00-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.68Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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2.59University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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4.65Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.29Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.69Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 14.4% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 26.0% | 25.4% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 29.4% | 23.8% | 21.4% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.7% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 26.0% | 27.8% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 20.0% | 28.2% | 28.1% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 17.1% | 27.0% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.