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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.12+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86-0.41vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-1.32vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-0.32vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.60+0.25vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.61-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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2.59University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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2.68Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.68Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.25Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.77Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 13.7% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.8% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 28.7% | 24.3% | 22.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 27.1% | 23.6% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 3.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 27.7% | 26.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 46.8% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 23.3% | 28.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.