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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.12+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+1.24vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82-0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.61+2.28vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-0.34vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.60+0.21vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.86-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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2.65Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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6.28University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.66Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.21Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.74Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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2.57University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 12.7% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.8% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 26.5% | 25.2% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 29.6% | 26.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 27.3% | 24.9% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 45.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 30.8% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.