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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+2.11vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+0.67vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.12+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.86-1.36vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.61+0.25vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.00-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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2.67Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.73Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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4.63Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.29Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.68Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 19.4% | 21.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 27.2% | 24.0% | 21.5% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 27.6% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 21.3% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 26.1% | 27.7% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 19.7% | 27.8% | 28.5% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.