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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.61+4.26vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86-0.37vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.00+2.73vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.82-2.31vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.12-2.33vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.76vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.50-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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2.63University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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6.73Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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2.69Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.24Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.59Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.6% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 21.0% | 29.7% | 25.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 29.4% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 24.3% | 42.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 26.7% | 25.4% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 13.8% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 21.0% | 27.4% | 26.9% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.