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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+0.23vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+0.65vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.12-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.61+0.23vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.74vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.00-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Indiana University0.820.3%1st Place
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2.63University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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3.23University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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4.65Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.72Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.26Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.67Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 29.4% | 23.5% | 21.0% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 27.7% | 25.3% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.7% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Grace Bray | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 22.2% | 25.1% | 27.4% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 16.0% | 27.2% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.