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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.70+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.88+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.95-0.46vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.98+1.49vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.14-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
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2.3University of South Florida2.880.3%1st Place
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2.76University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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3.54University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
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6.49Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.24Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.9University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine DeSilva | 12.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 27.8% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| William Felder | 33.7% | 28.6% | 20.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 22.0% | 25.4% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Whitehead | 14.0% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 24.6% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 25.5% | 66.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 16.2% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 51.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.