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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.20+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+0.95vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.38+0.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.53vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.72-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.09-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-0.98vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Connecticut College1.2028.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Rhode Island1.1024.4%1st Place
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3.92Connecticut College0.3814.4%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.5%1st Place
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3.83Bates College0.7213.7%1st Place
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5.6University of New Hampshire-0.375.9%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire-1.092.9%1st Place
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7.02University of New Hampshire-1.111.5%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University-0.793.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 28.1% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.4% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 14.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.7% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 8.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 31.8% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 30.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.