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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.71vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+2.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+1.21vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+2.33vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57+0.39vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.12vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-2.57vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.54College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 36.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 23.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.