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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.73vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+8.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.71vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.25vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-1.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.63vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.58-5.17vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-1.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-1.94vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.83Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 24.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 34.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.