← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.55+4.83vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.56+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.58+2.70vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.25vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.04+2.67vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.30+3.01vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University0.81+3.55vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.22+1.27vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.92-5.17vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.03-3.38vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.48vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.29-6.00vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.57-1.90vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.83Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.68Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.7Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.67College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
10.01Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.55Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.27George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
4.83Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.62Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
7.0Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
12.1University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.65University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 25.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 33.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.