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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+3.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+3.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.43vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58-0.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30+2.07vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+1.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.13vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.22-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.80vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.81-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.74Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.48George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 35.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.