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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+7.49vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+2.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+1.88vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+1.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.76vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+0.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.73vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-1.42vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81+1.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.57vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-0.70vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-3.75vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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9.49University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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5.68Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 25.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 36.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.