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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.65vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+5.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+2.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+0.98vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.72vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81+3.49vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.68vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22+0.37vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-0.91vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-5.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.39College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.73Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 25.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 6.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.