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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.70+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.88+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.95+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51-1.22vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.98+1.49vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.14-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
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2.28University of South Florida2.880.3%1st Place
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3.52University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
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2.78University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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6.49Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.23Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine DeSilva | 11.6% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 28.4% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| William Felder | 34.2% | 29.5% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Whitehead | 12.7% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 24.3% | 22.8% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 22.6% | 24.0% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 25.1% | 66.4% |
| Seth Barrows | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 51.9% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.