Race 1A

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Yuri Berebitsky 25.9% 20.2% 17.8% 13.2% 10.8% 8.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Caroline Hurley 18.1% 18.8% 16.4% 15.9% 11.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Hunter Wheaton 13.2% 14.1% 13.9% 15.0% 15.3% 12.2% 9.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Rowan Clinch 14.8% 15.5% 14.2% 15.0% 14.1% 12.8% 7.4% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Quincy Spurlock 8.4% 8.6% 10.8% 10.7% 13.9% 13.9% 14.7% 12.2% 5.0% 1.8%
Aidan Clark 10.3% 11.8% 13.0% 13.0% 14.1% 13.7% 13.4% 6.9% 2.9% 1.0%
Ryan Tuttle 3.8% 4.4% 6.6% 7.1% 7.5% 11.7% 16.8% 18.1% 16.6% 7.5%
Audrey Lillie 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 8.1% 12.8% 19.6% 23.4% 18.4%
Kevin McGann 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 8.9% 15.8% 23.7% 36.2%
Alexis Von Doersten 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 3.9% 6.0% 8.2% 14.3% 24.2% 34.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.