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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+5.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+8.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+3.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.28vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+4.25vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-3.25vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.29vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.58-5.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-2.79vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-8.23vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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5.83Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 22.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Young | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.