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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.12vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+1.83vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+0.78vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.56vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+3.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.57+2.14vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.10vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.01-5.19vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-2.57vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.78Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.0% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 35.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 23.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.