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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+6.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.17vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+2.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+3.62vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+6.38vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-0.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.49vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.86vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.58-4.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.72vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-1.74vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.11vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-9.33vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.49Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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5.8Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.0% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 23.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.