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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+2.78vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+7.43vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+0.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-1.20vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.04-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.57vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.01-2.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.77vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.54vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-2.84vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.8Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.21George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 24.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.