Race 11A

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Cowles 16.4% 16.3% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0% 8.0% 6.4% 5.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Brooke Schmelz 7.7% 8.3% 9.3% 7.7% 7.5% 8.5% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 8.6% 7.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.5%
Katherine McNamara 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 6.8% 6.4% 8.9% 8.8% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 9.7% 6.8% 4.7% 1.4%
Sarah Young 9.8% 12.4% 10.3% 11.4% 9.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 7.5% 5.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5%
Adra Ivancich 3.1% 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 4.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 9.8% 12.3% 12.5% 9.5%
Sophie Fisher 12.0% 8.4% 12.4% 11.2% 9.9% 8.6% 8.9% 7.7% 7.6% 6.0% 3.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Eva Ermlich 6.9% 8.5% 7.3% 7.9% 7.4% 8.6% 10.2% 7.1% 9.6% 8.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.8% 6.6% 6.3% 6.1% 7.1% 8.0% 6.4% 9.3% 8.1% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 7.3% 3.2%
Gianna Dewey 2.5% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 3.8% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 6.5% 10.0% 13.3% 19.3% 24.0%
Haley Andreasen 3.2% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 6.0% 5.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.0% 11.2% 10.7% 15.0% 11.2%
Eva Blauvelt 10.3% 8.1% 8.8% 11.2% 10.7% 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 7.8% 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Caitlin Derby 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.4% 6.5% 7.8% 12.3% 16.1% 35.2%
Zoey Ziskind 11.7% 11.9% 10.4% 10.1% 10.9% 9.6% 9.2% 7.9% 5.4% 5.4% 3.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.6%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 2.7% 2.4% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 6.4% 5.6% 5.5% 7.2% 8.5% 11.5% 14.2% 13.5% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.