Race 12A

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Cowles 16.8% 17.6% 13.0% 10.9% 10.8% 7.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3% 2.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 11.1% 13.0% 14.5% 10.5%
Eva Ermlich 6.2% 7.9% 7.6% 9.1% 5.3% 6.9% 9.6% 9.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 6.5% 3.7% 2.4%
Adra Ivancich 2.6% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 6.8% 7.9% 9.3% 10.9% 12.5% 11.8% 9.2%
Zoey Ziskind 10.5% 11.2% 11.2% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 9.0% 7.4% 6.3% 6.4% 4.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6%
Haley Andreasen 3.6% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 5.0% 6.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.6% 11.5% 13.7% 12.5%
Gianna Dewey 2.7% 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 3.9% 5.1% 4.7% 5.4% 5.6% 8.6% 12.6% 18.1% 22.5%
Sophie Fisher 12.5% 11.9% 11.1% 10.8% 10.1% 9.6% 7.3% 6.9% 5.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Sarah Young 11.2% 9.6% 10.0% 11.8% 9.2% 10.9% 8.6% 8.1% 7.3% 5.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Eva Blauvelt 9.7% 9.0% 10.6% 9.1% 9.0% 9.8% 8.5% 7.8% 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.9%
Brooke Schmelz 8.1% 7.2% 6.1% 8.1% 9.5% 7.2% 9.2% 7.9% 9.9% 8.4% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 1.6%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 8.4% 8.1% 8.1% 9.4% 9.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 5.8% 4.1%
Caitlin Derby 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 5.4% 7.2% 12.9% 18.3% 33.1%
Katherine McNamara 6.6% 6.6% 9.0% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.6% 8.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.