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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.30+8.28vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+4.13vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+5.63vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.76vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.03vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-5.42vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.58-6.64vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-1.78vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.84Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.36Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 34.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 21.0% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.