Race 1B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Laura Hamilton 19.4% 18.1% 13.8% 10.4% 10.8% 7.5% 6.5% 5.2% 3.2% 1.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
bella casaretto 15.5% 17.4% 12.4% 12.1% 10.4% 6.7% 7.5% 6.2% 3.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Marina Conde 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 7.1% 9.2% 7.4% 8.7% 7.4% 9.5% 6.9% 7.7% 6.5% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
Avery Canavan 4.4% 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 7.9% 7.8% 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.5%
Ava Farley 4.3% 4.4% 5.7% 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 8.2% 7.2% 5.2%
Kate Danielson 10.0% 12.6% 9.9% 11.6% 10.0% 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 5.7% 5.2% 3.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Audrey Foley 9.8% 6.3% 9.7% 9.4% 9.5% 11.0% 8.8% 8.0% 7.7% 5.4% 4.4% 3.6% 3.9% 2.4% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 6.3% 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 7.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.2% 7.4% 9.1% 7.4% 6.1% 3.9% 1.3%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.8% 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 5.9% 7.9% 8.6% 8.6% 10.0% 10.5% 11.7% 8.6%
Ariana Schwartz 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 6.1% 8.3% 10.2% 16.3% 32.9%
Esme Gonzalez 1.8% 2.7% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 6.1% 6.7% 8.3% 8.2% 12.0% 14.3% 20.3%
Karya Basaraner 5.1% 3.9% 5.7% 7.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.1% 7.8% 8.2% 7.6% 9.3% 7.5% 7.3% 5.7% 2.2%
Ella Towner 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 2.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 6.6% 10.1% 12.3% 16.5% 18.1%
Ava Cornell 4.1% 3.5% 5.0% 5.6% 5.2% 7.2% 6.1% 6.7% 7.4% 9.5% 9.1% 9.3% 8.8% 7.9% 4.6%
Emily Alfortish 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 7.5% 6.8% 7.7% 7.7% 7.9% 8.3% 9.4% 5.6% 6.7% 6.1% 3.3% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.