Race 2B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
bella casaretto 15.6% 14.6% 14.0% 11.1% 10.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.3% 4.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Laura Hamilton 20.8% 17.7% 12.7% 11.6% 10.5% 7.9% 5.8% 5.9% 2.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Audrey Foley 8.6% 8.1% 9.7% 10.1% 9.3% 8.6% 10.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.2% 4.8% 4.4% 1.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Kate Danielson 10.7% 12.3% 11.9% 10.2% 8.6% 10.2% 8.1% 7.4% 7.3% 4.9% 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Avery Canavan 5.0% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 6.6% 9.7% 9.4% 8.2% 7.3% 7.1% 4.3%
Ava Farley 4.0% 3.6% 6.0% 5.2% 4.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.6% 9.6% 6.6% 8.7% 10.3% 8.8% 7.3% 3.9%
Ella Towner 2.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 6.6% 6.0% 8.5% 9.2% 11.6% 15.9% 16.9%
Karya Basaraner 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.6% 6.4% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 9.3% 7.9% 7.5% 6.8% 4.8% 2.6%
Esme Gonzalez 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 3.3% 4.2% 3.0% 3.8% 5.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.0% 12.4% 15.6% 17.2%
Marina Conde 6.1% 6.5% 6.7% 8.1% 8.5% 9.9% 6.9% 7.9% 9.4% 7.5% 6.6% 6.0% 4.8% 3.5% 1.6%
Ariana Schwartz 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 2.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 5.4% 7.5% 10.9% 14.1% 34.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.6% 5.1% 7.6% 6.4% 7.4% 7.2% 9.3% 7.5% 9.0% 7.9% 8.2% 6.2% 6.4% 5.5% 1.7%
Ava Cornell 4.2% 4.2% 3.3% 5.5% 4.6% 5.9% 7.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 10.4% 7.8% 6.1%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.0% 3.2% 3.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 12.4% 12.0% 9.3%
Emily Alfortish 5.8% 8.2% 7.6% 7.0% 8.4% 8.1% 7.1% 8.2% 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 7.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.