Race 3B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kate Danielson 13.3% 11.5% 11.5% 10.2% 10.0% 9.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 3.5% 3.9% 1.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.8% 7.0% 8.3% 7.5% 7.1% 8.4% 7.4% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 7.5% 5.7% 5.2% 3.4% 0.5%
bella casaretto 15.9% 15.0% 13.6% 12.0% 10.3% 8.8% 7.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 7.9% 10.6% 12.5% 10.3% 6.9%
Laura Hamilton 17.9% 17.0% 13.5% 12.6% 11.9% 7.2% 6.5% 4.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 4.1% 5.8% 4.8% 5.0% 5.6% 6.1% 7.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.7% 10.4% 8.7% 7.8% 5.5% 2.5%
Emily Alfortish 7.2% 7.3% 5.6% 7.4% 8.1% 10.1% 8.5% 7.7% 8.1% 8.4% 6.7% 6.0% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Ava Farley 5.1% 4.2% 4.3% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 6.1% 6.1% 8.3% 9.5% 9.3% 11.2% 7.4% 7.3% 2.6%
Marina Conde 6.2% 7.1% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 7.8% 8.7% 9.3% 6.9% 8.9% 6.5% 5.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Karya Basaraner 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 7.4% 5.9% 7.3% 8.9% 9.0% 8.7% 8.1% 8.8% 7.2% 6.5% 4.7% 1.1%
Ava Cornell 4.1% 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.3% 6.6% 7.1% 8.7% 9.9% 9.5% 9.3% 6.7% 4.5%
Audrey Foley 8.0% 7.9% 10.6% 7.9% 8.5% 9.9% 8.9% 7.5% 8.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Ariana Schwartz 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 5.2% 5.9% 8.9% 12.6% 21.0% 24.6%
Esme Gonzalez 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.2% 6.5% 5.4% 6.0% 8.5% 10.5% 13.9% 17.0% 12.0%
Jordynn Johnson 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.8% 6.2% 8.7% 18.7% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.