← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.88+1.27vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.95+1.44vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.51-0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.70-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.14-1.72vs Predicted
-
6University of Florida-0.36+0.03vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.98-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27University of South Florida2.880.4%1st Place
-
3.44University of South Florida1.950.1%1st Place
-
2.75University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
-
3.83University of Miami1.700.1%1st Place
-
3.28Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.03University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
-
6.39Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Felder | 37.2% | 25.2% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Whitehead | 12.8% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 21.7% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 23.3% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 30.6% | 10.6% | 1.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 14.1% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 48.0% | 35.7% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 28.1% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.